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Market Update: 01-03-23

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Risk Management!

The Issachar Fund is 100% in Cash!

Here is a link to the 4th Quarter 2022 Issachar Fund Fact Sheet

Risk management remains the key to reaching long-term financial goals, and cutting losses short is rule number one! I learned this lesson in 2021 and have developed rules and disciplines to keep me focused on not repeating mistakes. My edge is a variant of William O’Neil’s trading system that invests in leading stocks with outstanding fundamental and technical chart patterns. William O’Neil is a self-made billionaire who wrote several books and published a newspaper to help investors achieve their financial dreams. I believe O’Neil’s trading system of rules and disciplines is the best on the market available to the public. If managing risk by diversification is not working and you are looking for a proven trading discipline, check out his books and videos or invest in Issachar. (There is no guarantee that any investment will achieve its objectives, generate positive returns, or avoid losses.)

We are still in a down-trending bear market, and I do not see anything fundamentally on the horizon that could change the trend! Therefore, I plan to keep building my watch list of stocks to buy and ETFs to short. The S&P 500 lost over -18% (the largest loss since 2008), and the NASDAQ 100 lost over -32%, while we lost less than -8% in 2022. January is when institutional money typically repositions itself for the new year, so I will study where big money flows to gain an edge. When “big money” buys or sells a stock, they do so by leaving “footprints in the sand” that I like to follow. Big mutual funds and pension plans create the trends I want to follow. Ships can’t turn as quickly as a kayak, and kayaks can get out of the water when it is unsafe. The water is not safe currently. However, there will be another incredible opportunity once the market bottoms and a new uptrend begins, but we should protect capital until then. Buying the dips has worked every time, but one.

The stock market is like trying to beat the casino at its own game! The “house” usually wins in the long run unless you have an edge. Luck and hope may lure you into the casino but remember how they pay for those “free drinks and hotel stays.” The casino/house knows and plays to odds betting that most people do not know the cards are stacked against them. The house usually wins if gamblers play long enough. Trading without an edge is like catching a falling knife.

The Fed reduced its balance sheet by another $13 billion last week as they continue to drain liquidity! The Fed is expected to raise rates again on February 1st, which is fundamentally bad for stocks and bonds. Higher rates cause P/E ratios to contract, and growth stocks typically fall the hardest. TSLA crashed over -65%, AAPL fell more than -26%, and AMZN dropped over -49% in 2022. I do not see these former leaders returning anytime soon.

Bottom Line: Issachar is in Cash, keeping our powder dry for the next opportunity! The Fed is still fighting inflation by raising rates and decreasing its balance sheet, which drains liquidity, making it hard for stocks to advance. The market is a forward-looking discounting system; if the price/volume charts look like “big money” is coming back, I will put my opinions aside and follow the money. Sometimes we win by not losing. Grace & Peace to everyone, and Happy New Year! (If you have questions or comments, please call 337-983-0676 or Email: Dexter@IssacharFund.com)

Links: Performance, Fact Sheet & Strategy, Blogs, My Story, Docs, BRI

Issachar: A Buy & Hold Alternative Actively Managed Like A Hedge Fund!

For it is by grace you have been saved, through faith, and this is not from yourselves, it is the gift of God not by works so that no one can boast. Ephesians 2:8-9

Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the Issachar Fund. This and other important information about the Fund are contained in the Prospectus, obtained by calling 1-866-787-8355 or visiting IssacharFund.com. The Prospectus should be read carefully before investing. The Issachar Fund is distributed by Northern Lights Distributors, LLC., member FINRA/SIPC. Horizon Capital Management Inc. (HCM) is not affiliated with Northern Lights Distributors, LLC.

Important Risk Information: Mutual Funds involve risks, including the possible loss of principal. An investment in the Fund may not be appropriate for all investors. The Fund may hold cash positions when the Adviser feels that the market is not producing returns greater than the short-term cash investments in which the Fund may invest. There is a risk that the sections of the market in which the Fund invests will begin to rise or fall rapidly, and the Fund will not be able to sell stocks quickly enough to avoid losses or reinvest its cash positions into areas of the advancing market quickly enough to capture the initial returns of changing market conditions. The Adviser’s judgment about the attractiveness, value, and potential appreciation of particular asset classes and securities in which the Fund invests may prove incorrect and may not produce the desired results. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Ratings are only one form of Fund performance and should not be used as the sole consideration in an investment decision. Opinions expressed are subject to change, not guaranteed, and should not be considered investment advice. There is no assurance these opinions or forecasts will come to pass, and past performance is no assurance of future results. For more information regarding the fund, including current performance, please visit IssacharFund.com.   Review Code: 5000-NLD-01/03/2023.

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Issachar Fund
c/o Gemini Fund Services, LLC
17605 Wright Street, Suite 2
Omaha, NE 68130
866‐787‐8355
337‐983‐0676

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Important Risk Information

Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of the Issachar Fund. This and other important information about the Fund are contained in the prospectus, which can be obtained by calling 1-866-787-8355 or going to the Documents page.  The prospectus should be read carefully before investing. The Issachar Fund is distributed by Northern Lights Distributors, LLC., member FINRA/SIPC

The Issachar Fund involves risks including the possible loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all investors.

The Fund may engage in frequent trading, leading to increased portfolio turnover, higher transaction costs, and the possibility of increased net capital gains, including net short-term capital gains that will be taxable to shareholders as ordinary income when distributed.  The Fund may hold cash positions and there is a risk that the sections of the market in which the Fund invests will begin to rise or fall rapidly and the Fund will not be able to sell stocks quickly enough to avoid losses, or reinvest its cash positions into areas of the advancing market quickly enough to capture the initial returns of changing market conditions.  The Fund’s investments in large capitalization stocks may underperform Funds that invest primarily in the stocks of lower quality, smaller capitalization companies during periods when the stocks of such companies are in favor.  Investments in small-capitalization and mid-capitalization companies involve greater risks and volatility than investing in larger capitalization companies.  Small and medium-size companies often have narrower markets for their goods and/or services and more limited managerial and financial resources than larger, more established companies.

The Fund invests in debt instruments which have varying levels of sensitivity to changes in interest rates, credit risk and other factors.  Many debt instruments are subject to prepayment risk, which is the risk that the issuer of the security will repay principal prior to the maturity date.  The Fund could lose money if the issuer or guarantor of a debt security goes bankrupt or is unable or unwilling to make interest payments and/or repay principal.  Changes in an issuer’s financial strength or credit rating also may affect a security’s value and have an impact on Fund performance.  The value of the Fund’s investment in fixed income securities will fall when interest rates rise and the effect of increased interest rates is more pronounced for intermediate-term or longer-term fixed income obligations owned by the Fund.  The Fund will invest a significant portion of its assets in securities that are rated below investment grade or “junk bonds.”  Junk bonds may be sensitive to economic changes, political changes, or adverse developments specific to a company.  These securities generally involve greater risk of default or price changes than other types of fixed-income securities and the Fund’s performance may vary significantly as a result.  The floating rate loans in which the Fund invests are usually rated below investment grade and are generally considered speculative because they present a greater risk of loss, including default, than higher quality debt securities and may be less liquid than higher rated debt securities.

The value of the Fund’s asset-backed securities may be affected by changes in interest rates, the availability of information concerning the interests in and structure of the pools of purchase contracts, financing leases or sales agreements that are represented by these securities, the creditworthiness of the servicing agent for the pool, the originator of the loans or receivables, or the entities that provide any supporting letters of credit, surety bonds, or other credit enhancements.  The Fund’s investment in municipal securities carries additional risk including changes in federal, state or local laws that may make a municipal issuer unable to make interest payments when due. Municipal securities backed by current or anticipated revenues from a specific project or specific assets can be negatively affected by the inability to collect revenue, for the project or from the assets. Moreover, an adverse interpretation of the tax status of municipal securities may make such securities decline in value.  In addition to the risks typically associated with fixed income securities, loan participations carry other risks, including the risk of insolvency of the lending bank or other intermediary.  Loan participations may be unsecured or not fully collateralized, may be subject to restrictions on resale and sometimes trade infrequently on the secondary market.

The Fund uses investment techniques, including investments in futures contracts, forward contracts, options and swaps, which may be considered to be an aggressive investment technique.  Investments in such derivatives may general be subject to market risks that may cause their prices to fluctuate over time and may increase the volatility of the Fund.  The use of derivatives may expose the Fund to additional risks that it would not be subject to if it invested directly in the securities underlying those derivatives, such as counterparty risk and the risk that the derivatives may become illiquid.  The use of derivatives may result in larger losses or smaller gains than investing in the underlying securities directly.   Interest rate swaps are subject to interest rate and credit risk.  Total return swaps are subject to counterparty risk, which relate to credit risk of the counterparty and liquidity risk of the swaps themselves.  There may be an imperfect correlation between the prices of options, futures, and/or forward contract and movements in the price of the securities (or indices) hedged or used for cover which may cause a given hedge not to achieve its objective.  There may not be a liquid secondary market for futures contracts and Forward currency transactions include the risks associated with fluctuations in currency.   If the Fund uses a hedging instrument at the wrong time or judges the market conditions incorrectly, the hedge might be unsuccessful, reduce the Fund’s investment return, or create a loss.  Use of leverage can magnify the effects of changes in the value of the Fund and makes them more volatile and increases the risk for loss in adverse environments.  Short positions are designed to profit from a decline in the price of particular securities, baskets of securities or indices.  The Fund will lose value if the instrument’s price rises – a result that is the opposite from traditional mutual funds.

Investments in foreign securities and securities that provide exposure to foreign securities involve greater risks than investing in domestic securities.  As a result, the Fund’s returns and NAVs may be affected to a large degree by fluctuations in currency exchange rates, political, diplomatic or economic conditions and regulatory requirements in other countries. The Fund also may invest in depositary receipts, including ADRs, which are traded on exchanges and provide an alternative to investing directly in foreign securities.  Investments in ADRs are subject to many of the risks associated with investing directly in foreign securities.  The laws and accounting, auditing, and financial reporting standards in foreign countries typically are not as strict as they are in the U.S., and there may be less public information available about foreign companies.  Investments in emerging markets instruments involve greater risks than investing in foreign instruments in general. Risks of investing in emerging market countries include political or social upheaval, nationalization of businesses, restrictions on foreign ownership and prohibitions on the repatriation of assets and risks from an economy’s dependence on revenues from particular commodities or industries among others.

No-Load mutual funds are sold without a sales charge, however other fees and expenses do apply to an investment in the Fund.

Total annual fund operating expenses are 1.86% for Class N and 1.74% for Class I. Total annual fund operating expenses after fee waiver and expense reimbursement are 1.90% for Class N and 1.65% for Class I. The Fund’s adviser has contractually agreed to waive management fees and make payments to limit Fund expenses until February 1, 2023 so that total annual operating expenses do not exceed 1.90% for Class N and 1.65% for Class.

NLD Review Code: 5119-NLD-3/16/2021

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